AUD / USD 08 Mei 2014

Dolar Aussie mendorong lebih tinggi pada hari Kamis , mengangkat AUD / USD ke level tertinggi 3 - minggu sekitar 0.9380.AUD/USD didorong oleh data di Oz , ChinaOnce lagi , pasar tenaga kerja Australia melampaui estimasi dan memberikan sayap ekstra untuk AUD , mendorong tempat ke posisi tertinggi baru di daerah 0.9380/85 . Tingkat pengangguran tetap tidak berubah pada 5,8 % sementara Employment Change naik 14.2K , lebih dari dua kali lipat ekspektasi untuk 6.75K . Pada baris yang sama ,surplus perdagangan yang lebih tinggi di China selama April ditambahkan ke sentimen optimis sekitar pasangan . " Pagi ini , satu set positif dari angka pasar tenaga kerja April membalik AUD - USD lebih tinggi meskipun 0,9385 dan kemudian 0,9400 dapat membatasi dalam waktu dekat tertunda aliran data Cina.Pada sisi negatifnya , 0,9315 juga dapat meredam on dips dekat istilah " , kata Emmanuel NG , FX Strategist di OCBC Bank.AUD / USD pasangan kunci levelsThe sekarang naik 0,55 % di 0,9379 dengan resistance berikutnya di 0,9427 ( tinggi Apr.11 ) depan dari 0.9461 ( Apr.10 tinggi ) dan kemudian 0,9500 ( level psikologis ) . Pada sisi negatifnya , pelanggaran 0,9227 (low Apr.29 ) akan bertujuan untuk 0,9225 ( rendah Apr.4 ) dan akhirnya 0,9184 ( 50 - d MA ) .

Analisis 27 Maret 2014

Eur/usd
After interacting with the already broken 5-years bearish trend line as a support (turquoise), the price bounced in bullish direction, where it tested again the Simple Moving Average 150 (yellow). The SMA resisted and the price started dropping. Suddenly, after half of the drop, the Momentum Indicator started moving in bullish direction, creating a bullish divergence with the graph of the price. For this reason, we believe that the price might start increasing before touching the already broken turquoise 5-years bearish trend line. The other scenario might be, a sudden drop to the turquoise line and a rapid rebound.

USDJPY:

The symmetrical triangle led to an outcome. After many frequent tests, the lower level of the triangle did not manage to hold the pressure of the price, which broke in bearish direction and dropped around 45 pips. Then something like a Double Bottom formation was created and the price started rapidly increasing. If we state that this is really a Double Bottom formation, the price still has to complete at least 50% of the potential movement. Therefore, the logical scenario would be a return to the upper level of the triangle, a resistance and a new drop, where the next crucial level would be the lower bottom of the formation.

GBPUSD:

The price did a crucial break in bullish direction, while testing the lower level of the already broken bullish corridor as a resistance (D1). Furthermore, it also broke through the purple 20-days bearish trend line, which was the indication of the bearish movement, which was a result of the Double Top formation on D1. Having in mind that the price did such significant breaks, it is most likely to see a new bullish movement. We remind that it is likely to see a return to some of the broken level or to all of them at once.

USDCHF:

After the price dropped and interacted with the upper level of the already broken bearish corridor (red) on D1, the price started increasing constantly with moving after a bullish trend line (blue), which is tested 5 times already. At the same time, the resistance around 0.88660 is still strong and unbroken. The resistance and the line form an ascending triangle, which, as we all know has bearish potential. For this reason we believe that the price would break through the blue bullish trend line and would start a drop, which has a potential with the size of the triangle. We would like to mention, that the price might first touch the pink resistance again, before starting dropping.

AUDUSD:

The price is still moving after the bullish trend line, which is a result of the inverted Head and Shoulders formation on the D1 chart (the neckline is the orange straight line). Suddenly, the price created a top, where the price is trying to break again. This means that we have a resistance (pink), which might change the situation. Furthermore, there is a big bearish divergence between the price and the Momentum Indicator (blue line), which is in a harmony with the pink resistance. For this reason, we believe that the price might drop and break through the blue bullish trend line. If this happens, the Fibonacci Retracement would be a good tool to determine the potential supports and the eventual rebound point. After all, on D1 we have an inverted Head and Shoulders formation to follow.

Analisis 26 Maret 2014

Eur/usd
The price tested the 5-years bearish trend line (turquoise) for fourth time. The level stood up the pressure of the price and a bullish bounce occurred. The bounce is visible on the Momentum Indicator too, but after the price reached a certain level, after two hours it started dropping, while the Momentum Indicator continued with the higher tops and bottoms. In other words, this is a clear bullish divergence. In a combination with the strong support (the 5-years bearish trend), we might state that the price would most likely restore the bullish movement.

USDJPY:
The consolidation after the Double Bottom formation started resembling a symmetrical triangle (orange). The tops of the triangle are synchronized with the previous clearly stated top by a bearish trend line (turquoise). The Momentum Indicator is consolidating too. As we all know, the symmetrical triangle has the potential to push the price in both direction. Having in mind that the price is touching a bearish trend line, the most logical scenario would be a bearish bounce and a drop with the size of the triangle or to the support formed by the Double Bottom formation. On the other hand, we should be careful for bullish breaks. If such occurs, we might see the price testing the 3-months purple bearish trend line.

GBPUSD:
The price has returned to test as a resistance the already broken lower level of the blue bullish corridor (D1). The price bounced in bearish direction afterwards. The last two bottoms of the price could be connected with a line (light blue bullish line), which might have the potential to support the price. For this reason, one of the possible scenarios for the price is a drop to the light blue bullish line and a bullish increase afterwards. The interaction point between the lower level of the blue bullish corridor (D1) and the purple bearish trend line might be the next test zone of the price.

USDCHF:
After breaking in bullish direction through the upper level of the red bearish corridor, the price started a consolidation, which formed a resistance in the area around 0.88600 (pink). After the last interaction with this resistance, the price dropped for a test of the already broken upper level of the red bearish corridor as a support. The level stood the pressure of the price and currently we witness a bullish movement. The Momentum Indicator also signalizes for a bullish activity. For this reason, we believe that the price would most likely return to the pink resistance and having in mind the test of the upper level of the corridor as a support and the fact that during the last interaction with the pink resistance, the price did a little break, we believe that the price might even see a break through the pink resistance.

AUDUSD:
The price broke again through the Neck Line of the inverted Head and Shoulders formation on the D1 chart. Thereafter the price started moving after a bullish trend line (turquoise), which is probably beginning of the bullish effect owing the inverted Head and Shoulders formation. The Momentum Indicator also shows a slight bullish increase (light blue line), which has already moved above the 100-level line. For this reason, we believe that the price would continue following the turquoise bullish trend line for now. The situation looks pleasant for a long-term bullish position, which might lead to a profit of 300-400 pips.